Probable starting eleven:Roma:De Sanctis; Maicon, Benatia, Leandro Castán, Balzaretti; Pjanic, De Rossi, Strootman; Florenzi, Ljajic, GervinhoCagliari:Avramov; Pisano, Rossettini, Astori, Murru; Dessena, Conti, Ekdal; Cossu; Sau, IbarboI see three reasons for my pick. First is connect with the tradition. Cagliari have two wins on the last three visits to the Capital, while Roma won once. However, all three games have finished with Over 2.5 goals. Here are the results:01.02.2013. AS Roma – Cagliari 2:4 11.09.2011. AS Roma – Cagliari 1:222.01.2011. AS Roma – Cagliari 3:0 The second reason is connect with the hosts. Roma failed to win in the last two rounds in Serie A after shared the points with Torino and Sassuolo. Juventus won against Livorno on Sunday and now Roma are in must win situation. The coach Rudi Garcia will ask the offensive from his players. With Gervinho recovered from the injury, I expect goals from Roma.The last reason is connect with Cagliari. They have played Over 2.5 goals on the last three matches in Serie A. Here are the results:10.11.2013. Cagliari – Torino 2:103.11.2013. Verona – Cagliari 2:130.10.2013. Cagliari – Bologna 0:3The midfielder Radja Nainggolan is under suspension, while the defender Gabriele Perico and the goalkeeper Michael Agazzi are sidelined due to injuries.I expect at least three goals here.