This is a derby match in Serie B, the third placed Cesena will host the fourth placed Latina. I think the hosts are closer to the victory and I see two different reasons. Here are they:The key reason for my pick is connect with the guests and their problems in front of this match. The coach Roberto Breda will be missing the key player Jonathas. He was sent off against Crotone two weeks ago and received a four-game ban. This is the second match he will not play. Last week Latina were defeated with high 3:0 from Siena. It was clear Jonathas’ absence is a huge problem for Breda. The Brazilian striker is the team top scorer with 14 goals so far. He is simply irreplaceable. But that’s not all as the Macedonian international Stefan Ristovski is also suspended. Ristovski is important in the defense and he has played 32 matches this season. So, one thing is sure – Latina are very handicapped.The second reason is connect with the hosts. Cesena are in excellent form at the moment. They have four victories on the last four matches. Cesena are three points from the second placed Empoli and I believe they will try to reach the second place that guarantees direct promotion. By the way, I’ve already mentioned the good form. Here are the last four matches in Serie B:17.05.2014. Reggina – Cesena 1:213.05.2014. Cesena – Empoli 1:009.05.2014. Padova – Cesena 0:103.05.2014. Cesena – Avellino 2:0I believe the good series will continue and Cesena will obtain the fifth consecutive victory.